2024-12-13 12:27:17
Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 1%, popular Chinese stock Yum! China rose by 2.8%, bilibili and Baidu rose by over 1.2%, Ali, New Oriental, Ideality, Pinduoduo and Netease rose by at most 1%, and YINN rose by 1.6%.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has regained consciousness after undergoing head surgery again. At present, the situation is stable. On the morning of 12th local time, Brazilian President Lula underwent head surgery again in the Syrian-Lebanese hospital in Sao Paulo, the largest city in the country, to prevent further intracranial hemorrhage. The reporter from the General Station learned from the press conference held by the hospital that Lula had recovered after the operation and was in a stable condition, so he could talk with the medical staff. The medical team said that the operation, as part of the first treatment on the 10th, started at around 7: 00 on the 12th and lasted less than an hour. The medical staff said that the operation was successful and Lula needed further examination in the intensive care unit until the 13th. According to the current rehabilitation situation, the medical team assessed that Lula's discharge time was on the 16th or 17th of this month.
US President-elect Trump: Will do some great things in the field of cryptocurrency. Electricity will be needed.Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.
GBP/USD fell 0.4% to 1.2700, the lowest level in a week.The National Certificate Manufacturing Individual Champion Index was released first in China in Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, and the precise docking service activity of manufacturing individual champion enterprises was held in Ningbo, Zhejiang Province on the 12th, and the National Certificate Manufacturing Individual Champion Index was officially released. This is the first thematic index focusing on the performance of individual champion enterprises in China. The National Certificate Manufacturing Individual Champion Index is based on the list of manufacturing individual champion enterprises of China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, focusing on single champion listed companies belonging to strategic emerging industries, and selecting 50 leading manufacturing enterprises in China with strong global competitiveness, influence, innovation ability and growth in sub-sectors. (Zhongxin. com)US Secretary of State Blinken: Turkish interests in Syria focus on combating terrorism; Key external participants should not trigger new conflicts.